Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-11
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)” event at 53.8% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 46.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 46%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles at 46% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 54¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York Yankees
53.8% avg
