Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-09
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET)” event at 52.8% implied probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians at 47.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cleveland Guardians at 47%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland Guardians: 47¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the New York Y vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 9 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
New York Yankees
52.8% avg
