Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-16
This market resolved on 2026-05-16. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York MetsWINNER | 99% | 47% | 98% |
New York Yankees | 1% | 53% | 7% |
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York Mets led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York Yankees at 20%.
New York Mets held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York Mets, New York Yankees at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 52.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York Mets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. New York Yankees: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 52.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that New York Mets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the New York Y vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and New York Mets, scheduled for May 16 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New York Mets
81.2% avg
