Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-16
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Yankees leads the “New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET)” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by New York Mets at 48.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets (7:15 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Yankees leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New York Mets at 49%.
New York Yankees currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind New York Yankees, New York Mets at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Yankees: 54¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. New York Mets: 48¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that New York Yankees will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the New York Y vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and New York Mets, scheduled for May 16 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
New York Yankees
52.3% avg
