Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Y leads the “New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners” event at 62.0% implied probability, followed by Seattle at 44.0%. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Y leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Seattle at 44%.
New York Y currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind New York Y, Seattle at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Y: 70¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Seattle: 42¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that New York Y will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New York Y
62.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the New York Y vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for March 30 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
