Live prediction market odds for Athletics vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Athletics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Athletics vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
AthleticsWINNER | 99% | 41% | 96% |
New York Mets | 1% | 60% | 4% |
Athletics vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Athletics led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York Mets at 22%.
Athletics held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Athletics, New York Mets at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 58.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Athletics: 99¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. New York Mets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 58.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Athletics would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf A's wins the A's vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the A's vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and New York Mets, scheduled for April 11 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Athletics
78.5% avg
