Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Chicago Cubs leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET)” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 48.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Cubs leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 49%.
Chicago Cubs currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Chicago Cubs, Philadelphia Phillies at 49% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Cubs: 52¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 48¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Chicago Cubs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for April 21 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Chicago Cubs
51.3% avg
