Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-03
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET)” event at 57.8% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 41.5%. A 11.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 42%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 11.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 52¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 47¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 11.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Philadelphia Phillies
57.8% avg
