Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miami Marlins leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)” event at 59.5% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 47.5%. A 19.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Marlins leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 48%.
Miami Marlins currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 19.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Marlins: 69¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 45¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 19.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Miami Marlins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Miami Marlins
59.5% avg
