Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 36% | 93% |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 64% | 10% |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Philadelphia Phillies led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 25%.
Philadelphia Phillies held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 63.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Philadelphia Phillies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. Miami Marlins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 63.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Philadelphia Phillies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 1 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Philadelphia Phillies
76.2% avg
