Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-01
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET)” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Miami Marlins at 40.8%. A 12.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (7:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Marlins at 41%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 12.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 53¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Miami Marlins: 47¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 12.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Philadelphia Phillies
59.0% avg
