Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (1:40 PM ET)” event at 52.3% implied probability, followed by New York Mets at 47.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (1:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New York Mets at 48%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 54¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. New York Mets: 46¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Philadelphia Phillies
52.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for June 28 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
