Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-17
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET)” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 45.8%. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 46%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Philadelphia Phillies at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 58¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 43¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.8% avg
