Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-05-15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)” event at 35.4% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 66.7%. A 93.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 35% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 67%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 35% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Philadelphia Phillies at 67% are the next closest contenders. The 93.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Pittsburgh Pirates: 1¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. Philadelphia Phillies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. The 93.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 35¢ means the market estimates a 35% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 35¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 186% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
35.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 15 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
