Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Philadelphia Phillies at 45.3%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 45%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Philadelphia Phillies at 45% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 56¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 44¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
54.8% avg
