Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-08
This market resolved on 2026-04-08. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants — MLB game held on 2026-04-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco GiantsWINNER | 99% | 46% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies | 1% | 55% | 8% |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Francisco Giants led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 21%.
San Francisco Giants held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 53.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Francisco Giants: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Philadelphia Phillies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 53.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that San Francisco Giants would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the Philadelphia vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 8 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Francisco Giants
81.2% avg
