Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-05
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)” event at 52.8% implied probability, followed by Arizona Diamondbacks at 49.3%. A 15.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 49%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Arizona Diamondbacks at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 47¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Arizona Diamondbacks: 57¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 15.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
52.8% avg
