Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-06
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arizona Diamondbacks leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Pittsburgh Pirates at 48.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arizona Diamondbacks leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Pirates at 49%.
Arizona Diamondbacks currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Arizona Diamondbacks, Pittsburgh Pirates at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arizona Diamondbacks: 52¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates: 49¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Arizona Diamondbacks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
51.5% avg
