Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-06
This market resolved on 2026-05-06. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-06. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 99% | 54% | 95% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 1% | 46% | 11% |
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Pittsburgh Pirates led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 19%.
Pittsburgh Pirates held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Arizona Diamondbacks at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 45.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Pittsburgh Pirates: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 45.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Pittsburgh Pirates would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the Pittsburgh vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for May 6 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Pittsburgh Pirates
82.7% avg
