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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Total over 4.5 leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET)” event at 95.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Total over 5.5 (89.0%), Total over 6.5 (85.0%), Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 (82.0%), and Athletics spread plus 3.5 (79.5%). A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Live Markets

3 platforms

Athletics

57% Avg

57¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	56.5%	56¢	57¢	43¢	44¢
Polymarket	56.5%	56¢	57¢	43¢	44¢
ProphetX	57.0%	57¢	57¢	44¢	44¢

Pittsburgh PiratesARB

44% Avg

45¢

44¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	44.5%	44¢	45¢	55¢	56¢
Polymarket	43.5%	43¢	44¢	56¢	57¢
ProphetX	44.0%	44¢	44¢	57¢	57¢

Athletics spread plus 1.5

67% Avg

67¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Polymarket	66.5%	66¢	67¢	33¢	34¢

Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5

61% Avg

61¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Polymarket	60.5%	60¢	61¢	39¢	40¢

Total over 10.5

54% Avg

55¢

54¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	54.5%	54¢	55¢	45¢	46¢
Polymarket	53.5%	53¢	54¢	46¢	47¢

Total under 10.5

47% Avg

47¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Polymarket	46.5%	46¢	47¢	53¢	54¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Total over 4.5 leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Total over 5.5 at 89%, Total over 6.5 at 85%, Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 at 82%.

What is moving the odds on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET)"?

Total over 4.5 currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Total over 4.5, Total over 5.5 at 89% and Total over 6.5 at 85% and Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 at 82% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Total over 4.5: 95¢ on Kalshi. Total over 5.5: 89¢ on Kalshi. Total over 6.5: 85¢ on Kalshi. Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5: 82¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Total over 4.5 is at 95%?

A price of 95¢ means the market estimates a 95% probability that Total over 4.5 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 95¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 5% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET)

About This Market

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