Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-04
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Houston Astros at 50.5%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Houston Astros at 51%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Houston Astros at 51% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 52¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Houston Astros: 51¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Pittsburgh vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 4 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.8% avg
