Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-28
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York M leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets” event at 64.3% implied probability, followed by Pittsburgh at 40.5%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York M leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pittsburgh at 41%.
New York M currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind New York M, Pittsburgh at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York M: 68¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh: 42¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that New York M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New York M
64.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf New York M wins the Pittsburgh vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets, scheduled for March 28 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
