Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET)” event at 64.3% implied probability, followed by Pittsburgh Pirates at 34.3%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Pirates at 34%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates at 34% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 63¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates: 34¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Philadelphia Phillies
64.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
