Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Francisco Giants leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET)” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Pittsburgh Pirates at 49.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco Giants leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Pirates at 49%.
San Francisco Giants currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind San Francisco Giants, Pittsburgh Pirates at 49% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco Giants: 50¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that San Francisco Giants will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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San Francisco Giants
50.8% avg
