Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-07-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)” event at 51.0% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 48.3%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 48%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 49¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 50¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
51.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Pittsburgh vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 3 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
