Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-25
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arizona Diamondbacks leads the “San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6:05 PM ET)” event at 53.5% implied probability, followed by San Diego Padres at 48.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arizona Diamondbacks leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Diego Padres at 48%.
Arizona Diamondbacks currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arizona Diamondbacks: 51¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. San Diego Padres: 52¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Arizona Diamondbacks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the San Diego vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for April 25 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5% avg
