Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-13
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET)” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by San Diego Padres at 45.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Diego Padres at 45%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, San Diego Padres at 45% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 54¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. San Diego Padres: 46¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the San Diego vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 13 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Baltimore Orioles
54.5% avg
