Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-04-21
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego Padres leads the “San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)” event at 58.3% implied probability, followed by Colorado Rockies at 43.5%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Diego Padres leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Colorado Rockies at 44%.
San Diego Padres currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Diego Padres: 58¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 59¢ on ProphetX. Colorado Rockies: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 46¢ on ProphetX. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that San Diego Padres will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Colorado wins the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for April 21 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Diego Padres
58.3% avg
