Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-04
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Philadelphia Phillies leads the “San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET)” event at 58.3% implied probability, followed by San Diego Padres at 42.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Philadelphia Phillies leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Diego Padres at 43%.
Philadelphia Phillies currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Philadelphia Phillies: 59¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. San Diego Padres: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Philadelphia Phillies will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 4 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Philadelphia Phillies
58.3% avg
