About This Market
ShareSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-06-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-06-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | — | 100% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | — | 100% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER |
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Philadelphia Phillies led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Philadelphia Phillies at 100%, Philadelphia Phillies at 100%, San Diego Padres at 100%.
Philadelphia Phillies held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Philadelphia Phillies at 100% and Philadelphia Phillies at 100% and San Diego Padres at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 4.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Philadelphia Phillies: 100¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 100¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia Phillies: 100¢ on Polymarket. San Diego Padres: 100¢ on Polymarket. The 4.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Philadelphia Phillies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
| 100% |
| — |
San Diego Padres | — | 100% | — |
San Diego Padres | — | 100% | — |
San Diego Padres | — | 100% | — |
San Diego Padres | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Under | — | 100% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 98% |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 0% | 4% |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Over | 1% | 0% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 1% | 0% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 1% | 0% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 1% | 0% | — |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 0% | — |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 0% | — |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 0% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | — | 0% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies
99.0% avg