Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Francisco Giants leads the “San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET)” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by San Diego Padres at 44.5%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco Giants leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Diego Padres at 45%.
San Francisco Giants currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco Giants: 51¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. San Diego Padres: 48¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that San Francisco Giants will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
San Francisco Giants
55.0% avg
