Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-29
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego Padres leads the “San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 47.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego Padres leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 48%.
San Diego Padres currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind San Diego Padres, Washington Nationals at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego Padres: 55¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 49¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that San Diego Padres will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the San Diego vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
San Diego Padres
54.5% avg
