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Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

2026-05-18

About This Market

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San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Arizona Diamondbacks leads the “San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)” event at 56.8% implied probability, followed by San Francisco Giants at 43.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
AD
Arizona Diamondbacks
57% Avg
Kalshi60¢
Polymarket60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
57.0%54¢60¢40¢46¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.5%53¢60¢40¢47¢
SF
San Francisco Giants
43% Avg
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
42.0%38¢46¢54¢62¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.5%40¢47¢53¢60¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arizona Diamondbacks leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Francisco Giants at 44%.

What is moving the odds on "San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)"?

Arizona Diamondbacks currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arizona Diamondbacks: 57¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. San Francisco Giants: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Arizona Diamondbacks is at 57%?

A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Arizona Diamondbacks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for May 18 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Arizona Diamondbacks

56.8% avg