Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Baltimore Orioles leads the “San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by San Francisco Giants at 39.3%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baltimore Orioles leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Francisco Giants at 39%.
Baltimore Orioles currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Baltimore Orioles, San Francisco Giants at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baltimore Orioles: 54¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. San Francisco Giants: 36¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Baltimore Orioles will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Baltimore Orioles
55.3% avg
