Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-16
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cincinnati Reds leads the “San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET)” event at 51.0% implied probability, followed by San Francisco Giants at 48.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cincinnati Reds leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Francisco Giants at 49%.
Cincinnati Reds currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cincinnati Reds: 53¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. San Francisco Giants: 46¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Cincinnati Reds will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 16, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 16, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for April 16 at 12:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Cincinnati Reds
51.0% avg
