Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego leads the “San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by San Francisco at 47.5%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include San Francisco at 48%.
San Diego currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind San Diego, San Francisco at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego: 59¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. San Francisco: 47¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that San Diego will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
San Diego
55.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, scheduled for March 30 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
