Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-23
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Seattle Mariners leads the “Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (4:10 PM ET)” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Kansas City Royals at 41.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (4:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Seattle Mariners leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kansas City Royals at 42%.
Seattle Mariners currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Seattle Mariners, Kansas City Royals at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Seattle Mariners: 58¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Royals: 40¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Seattle Mariners will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Seattle vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Seattle Mariners
57.5% avg
