Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET)” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by Seattle Mariners at 44.5%. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Seattle Mariners at 45%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Seattle Mariners at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 53¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Seattle Mariners: 47¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 5.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Seattle vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 25 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.3% avg
