Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-16
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego Padres leads the “Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET)” event at 50.0% implied probability, followed by Seattle Mariners at 49.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego Padres leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Seattle Mariners at 50%.
San Diego Padres currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners at 50% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego Padres: 49¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Seattle Mariners: 51¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that San Diego Padres will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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San Diego Padres
50.0% avg
