Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-16
This market resolved on 2026-04-16. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-04-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San Diego PadresWINNER | 99% | 47% | 98% |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 53% | 6% |
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Diego Padres led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Seattle Mariners at 20%.
San Diego Padres held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 52.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Diego Padres: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Seattle Mariners: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 52.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that San Diego Padres would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (8:40 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the Seattle vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 16 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Diego Padres
81.4% avg
