Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-13
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-06-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Seattle Mariners leads the “Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET)” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 46.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Seattle Mariners leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 47%.
Seattle Mariners currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Seattle Mariners, Washington Nationals at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Seattle Mariners: 51¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 45¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Seattle Mariners will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Seattle vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals, scheduled for June 13 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Seattle Mariners
51.3% avg
