Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-07-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Chicago Cubs leads the “St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (4:05 PM ET)” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by St. Louis Cardinals at 47.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Chicago Cubs leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include St. Louis Cardinals at 47%.
Chicago Cubs currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals at 47% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Chicago Cubs: 56¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. St. Louis Cardinals: 48¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Chicago Cubs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Chicago Cubs
55.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Chicago C wins the St. Louis vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the St. Louis vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 3 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
