Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET)” event at 62.3% implied probability, followed by St. Louis Cardinals at 38.8%. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include St. Louis Cardinals at 39%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 60¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. St. Louis Cardinals: 42¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
62.3% avg
