Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (10:00 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-07
This market resolved on 2026-05-07. St. Louis Cardinals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (10:00 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis CardinalsWINNER | 99% | 41% | 96% |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 59% | 9% |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (10:00 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). St. Louis Cardinals led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego Padres at 23%.
St. Louis Cardinals held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 58.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: St. Louis Cardinals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. San Diego Padres: 1¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 58.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that St. Louis Cardinals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the St. Louis vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the St. Louis vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 7 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
St. Louis Cardinals
78.8% avg
