Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
San Diego Padres leads the “St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET)” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by St. Louis Cardinals at 43.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego Padres leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include St. Louis Cardinals at 43%.
San Diego Padres currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals at 43% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego Padres: 55¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. St. Louis Cardinals: 41¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that San Diego Padres will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
San Diego Padres
54.8% avg
