Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pittsburgh Pirates leads the “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (4:05 PM ET)” event at 58.8% implied probability, followed by Tampa Bay Rays at 44.8%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (4:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh Pirates leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tampa Bay Rays at 45%.
Pittsburgh Pirates currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates, Tampa Bay Rays at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh Pirates: 64¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Tampa Bay Rays: 43¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Pittsburgh Pirates will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
58.8% avg
