Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-17
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Rays leads the “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)” event at 54.0% implied probability, followed by Pittsburgh Pirates at 50.8%. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tampa Bay Rays leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Pirates at 51%.
Tampa Bay Rays currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Rays, Pittsburgh Pirates at 51% are the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tampa Bay Rays: 62¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates: 48¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Tampa Bay Rays will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Rays
54.0% avg
