Live prediction market odds for Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles — MLB game scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Texas leads the “Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles” event at 50.3% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 44.8%. A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Texas leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 45%.
Texas currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Texas, Baltimore Orioles at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Texas: 46¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 45¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Texas will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Texas
50.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Texas vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Texas vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for March 31 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
