Live prediction market odds for Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-17
This market resolved on 2026-04-17. Texas Rangers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-04-17. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Texas RangersWINNER | 99% | 46% | 97% |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 54% | 7% |
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Texas Rangers led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Seattle Mariners at 21%.
Texas Rangers held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 53.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Texas Rangers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Seattle Mariners: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 53.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Texas Rangers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for April 17 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Texas Rangers
80.8% avg
