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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 5.0% // +$500.00

Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

2026-05-29

About This Market

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Toronto Blue Jays leads the “Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Baltimore Orioles at 47.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
TB
Toronto Blue Jays
54% Avg
Kalshi56¢
Polymarket62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
53.0%50¢56¢44¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
55.0%48¢62¢38¢52¢
BO
Baltimore Orioles
47% Avg
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
48.0%45¢51¢49¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.0%38¢52¢48¢62¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)" and why does it matter?

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto Blue Jays leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 48%.

What is moving the odds on "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)"?

Toronto Blue Jays currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto Blue Jays: 56¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore Orioles: 50¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Toronto Blue Jays is at 56%?

A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Toronto Blue Jays will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 29 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread5.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Toronto Blue Jays

55.5% avg