Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tampa Bay Rays leads the “Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)” event at 46.5% implied probability, followed by Toronto Blue Jays at 36.5%. A 39.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tampa Bay Rays leads at 47% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Toronto Blue Jays at 37%.
Tampa Bay Rays currently leads at 47% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays at 37% are the next closest contenders. The 39.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tampa Bay Rays: 49¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Toronto Blue Jays: 17¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 39.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 47¢ means the market estimates a 47% probability that Tampa Bay Rays will be the outcome. Buying one share at 47¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 113% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Rays
46.5% avg
