Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-12
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cincinnati Reds leads the “Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)” event at 60.8% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 43.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cincinnati Reds leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 43%.
Cincinnati Reds currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Cincinnati Reds, Washington Nationals at 43% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cincinnati Reds: 63¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 45¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Cincinnati Reds will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Cincinnati Reds
60.8% avg
