Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-13
This market resolved on 2026-05-13. Washington Nationals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Washington NationalsWINNER | 99% | 28% | 76% |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 72% | 32% |
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Washington Nationals led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cincinnati Reds at 35%.
Washington Nationals held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington Nationals, Cincinnati Reds at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 71.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Washington Nationals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket, 76¢ on ProphetX. Cincinnati Reds: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 32¢ on ProphetX. The 71.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Washington Nationals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Washington vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for May 13 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Washington Nationals
67.8% avg
