Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (12:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (12:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miami Marlins leads the “Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (12:10 PM ET)” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 46.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (12:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miami Marlins leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 46%.
Miami Marlins currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals at 46% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miami Marlins: 56¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Miami Marlins will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Miami Marlins
55.0% avg
