Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (1:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-30
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (1:10 PM ET) — MLB game scheduled for 2026-04-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
New York Mets leads the “Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (1:10 PM ET)” event at 66.0% implied probability, followed by Washington Nationals at 33.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (1:10 PM ET) is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New York Mets leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Nationals at 34%.
New York Mets currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind New York Mets, Washington Nationals at 34% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New York Mets: 66¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals: 33¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that New York Mets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New York Mets
66.0% avg
